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European Stock Futures Higher; Ukraine War, French Election in Focus


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By Peter Nurse – European stock markets are expected to open marginally higher Thursday, with investors keeping track of developments in Ukraine and the French presidential campaign.

At 2:05 AM ET (0605 GMT), the DAX futures contract in Germany traded 0.4% higher, CAC 40 futures in France climbed 0.3% and the FTSE 100 futures contract in the U.K. rose 0.3%.

The war in Ukraine remains at the forefront of investors’ thinking, with Russia now focusing on overrunning the Donbas region of eastern Ukraine, a campaign that the West anticipates could last many months.

G7 finance ministers announced plans Wednesday to provide additional support to Ukraine of at least $24 billion for 2022 and beyond, adding that they were prepared to do more as needed.

Additionally, U.S. President Joe Biden is set to deliver later Thursday an update on the Russian invasion amid expectations that he will announce another arms package for Ukraine’s military, following on from the $800 million deal announced last week.

Elsewhere, French President Emmanuel Macron and far-right challenger Marine Le Pen took part in a heated TV debate late Wednesday, ahead of Sunday’s vote which is set to decide the path of Europe’s second largest economy for the next five years.

European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde is set to take part in a panel discussion at the IMF-World Bank meeting later Thursday, along with Fed Chair Jerome Powell. Her comments will be studied carefully for clues of future monetary policy after the Eurozone consumer price index soared to 7.5%, from 5.9% the previous month.

The ECB could lift policy rates above zero before the end of the year unless the eurozone economy suffers a severe shock, and it might even have to deploy “restrictive” policy to get surging prices under control, Governing Council member Pierre Wunsch said Thursday. 

In corporate news, Nestle (SIX:NESN) will be in the spotlight after the Swiss food group confirmed its targets for 2022 after strong price increases to counter cost inflation helped organic sales rise more than expected in the first quarter.

Getlink (EPA:GETP) will also be in focus after the operator of the Channel Tunnel posted a rise of almost 50% in first quarter revenue, as travel in Europe gradually recovers from the pandemic.

Oil prices edged higher Thursday, helped by signs of strong U.S. demand while the global supply situation remains tight.

Crude oil supply data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration, released Wednesday, showed a draw of 8 million barrels for the week ended April 15, confirming the strong numbers released the previous session by the industry body American Petroleum Institute.

OPEC member Libya said on Wednesday it was losing more than 550,000 barrels per day of oil output due to blockades, while the European Union is considering a ban on Russian oil for its invasion of Ukraine.

By 2:05 AM ET, U.S. crude futures traded 1.4% higher at $103.60 a barrel, while the Brent contract rose 1.5% to $108.37. 

Additionally, gold futures fell 0.1% to $1,954.70/oz, while EUR/USD traded largely flat at 1.0850.

European Stock Futures Higher; Ukraine War, French Election in Focus

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